Connah's Quay vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 1
CON
18%
25%
57%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TRE
0 - 4
CON
6%
11%
83%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
CON
6 - 3
AIR
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
BAL
42%
26%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
TNS
3 - 0
ABE
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
TNS
4%
10%
87%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TNS
3 - 1
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
TNS
27%
24%
50%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
TNS
6 - 0
LUF
92%
6%
2%
|
67 | 7 | 60 | 0 |