Connah's Quay vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
5º
2º
56
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
CON
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
CON
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
TNS
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
CON
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 5
TNS
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
PEN
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
BAL
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
CON
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |