Connah's Quay vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
CON
0 - 1
AIR
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
CON
2 - 0
NEA
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CON
0 - 0
CAR
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
WEL
0 - 1
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
CON
1 - 1
PRE
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CAE
0 - 2
LLA
9%
18%
73%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
LLA
1 - 0
POR
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
CEF
2 - 5
LLA
15%
21%
64%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 0
LLA
35%
23%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
LLA
5 - 0
POR
89%
8%
3%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |