Connah's Quay vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
38%
25%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CON
2 - 3
BAR
61%
24%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 1
CON
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
TNS
3 - 1
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
HAV
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
FLI
0 - 2
FRA
36%
24%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ORN
4 - 1
FLI
21%
22%
57%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
FLI
2 - 2
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 1
CON
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
FLI
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |