Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 0
CON
40%
24%
37%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
NEA
1 - 1
CON
57%
22%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LLA
4 - 1
CON
83%
11%
5%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
CAE
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
CON
3 - 1
POR
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
CEF
0 - 4
BAL
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CEF
0 - 1
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CEF
2 - 4
RHY
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 2
CEF
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
AIR
1 - 0
CEF
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |