Connah's Quay vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
ABE
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 2
CON
12%
21%
67%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
LLA
86%
10%
3%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
CON
4 - 2
PRI
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 2
NEW
49%
24%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TNS
5 - 3
CAE
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 0
HAV
69%
18%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
RTW
0 - 3
CAE
8%
14%
78%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 5
NEW
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |