Welsh Premier League Ronda Campeonato Jor. 9

Connah's Quay vs Bala Town analysis

Connah's Quay Bala Town
66 ELO 66
3.3% Tilt -1.7%
1481º General ELO ranking 1509º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.9%
Connah's Quay
25.7%
Draw
29.3%
Bala Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
Connah's Quay
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.3%
Win probability
Bala Town
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Connah's Quay
+5%
-3%
Bala Town

Points and table prediction

Connah's Quay
Their league position
Bala Town
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
51
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
The New Saints
92
30
100%
Bala Town
51
14
100%
Connah's Quay
59
12
100%
Newtown
44
11
100%
Caernarfon Town FC
41
10
100%
Cardiff MU
39
5
100%
Expected probabilities
Connah's Quay
Bala Town
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
100% 100%
Play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Connah's Quay
Bala Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Connah's Quay
Connah's Quay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2024
CAR
Cardiff MU
0 - 3
Connah's Quay
CON
45%
26%
29%
66 65 1 0
29 Mar. 2024
CON
Connah's Quay
0 - 0
Newtown
NEW
48%
24%
27%
66 63 3 0
23 Mar. 2024
CON
Connah's Quay
1 - 0
Bala Town
BAL
44%
23%
32%
66 67 1 0
15 Mar. 2024
CAE
Caernarfon Town FC
2 - 1
Connah's Quay
CON
43%
25%
32%
66 61 5 0
08 Mar. 2024
CON
Connah's Quay
1 - 5
The New Saints
TNS
43%
25%
32%
66 66 0 0

Matches

Bala Town
Bala Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2024
TNS
The New Saints
4 - 1
Bala Town
BAL
63%
19%
18%
66 66 0 0
05 Apr. 2024
BAL
Bala Town
1 - 1
Newtown
NEW
44%
26%
30%
66 64 2 0
23 Mar. 2024
CON
Connah's Quay
1 - 0
Bala Town
BAL
44%
23%
32%
67 66 1 -1
16 Mar. 2024
CAR
Cardiff MU
0 - 1
Bala Town
BAL
43%
26%
31%
66 66 0 +1
08 Mar. 2024
BAL
Bala Town
1 - 1
Caernarfon Town FC
CAE
49%
25%
27%
66 61 5 0
X