Connah's Quay vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
12º
2º
0
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
CON
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
TNS
39%
25%
37%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
CON
3 - 3
NAN
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
WIN
86%
11%
3%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 2
ABE
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
AIR
12%
18%
70%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 0
AIR
24%
24%
53%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
HOL
3 - 2
AIR
25%
23%
51%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
AIR
4 - 2
GRE
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | +1 |