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League Cup Wales. Last 16

Connah's Quay vs Airbus UK analysis

Connah's Quay Airbus UK
43 ELO 30
27% Tilt 197%
2538º General ELO ranking 3190º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
30.3%
Connah's Quay
18.4%
Draw
51.3%
Airbus UK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
Connah's Quay
2.04
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
14.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
4%
4-4
1.4%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
18.4%
51.3%
Win probability
Airbus UK
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
5.9%
3-4
2.7%
4-5
0.7%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
3.9%
3-5
1.4%
4-6
0.3%
5-7
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.6%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%