Congo vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
COG
1 - 1
ZWE
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
COG
1 - 1
LBY
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
COG
0 - 0
AGO
40%
27%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
COG
2 - 0
BFA
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
CMR
0 - 1
COG
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LBR
1 - 1
COD
6%
11%
83%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
MRT
0 - 1
LBR
43%
23%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
LBR
0 - 2
MRT
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ZWE
3 - 0
LBR
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
LBR
1 - 0
SLE
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |