Congleton Town FC vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
68.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congleton Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CON
0 - 6
FAR
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CON
3 - 0
NEW
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
WHI
2 - 1
CON
39%
23%
39%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
JAR
3 - 4
CON
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CON
4 - 3
HAN
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FLE
0 - 0
POR
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
WAL
0 - 1
POR
63%
22%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
POR
0 - 2
BOL
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
OXF
2 - 0
POR
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
POR
0 - 3
SHE
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |