Congleton Town FC vs New Mills analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congleton Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
WHI
2 - 1
CON
39%
23%
39%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
JAR
3 - 4
CON
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CON
4 - 3
HAN
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
NOS
0 - 4
CON
13%
18%
69%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
NOS
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 6 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
New Mills
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 0
NEW
88%
9%
3%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 2
KEN
8%
14%
79%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 3
WIT
6%
13%
81%
|
5 | 33 | 28 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
OSS
2 - 0
NEW
90%
8%
2%
|
5 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 3
LAN
8%
17%
76%
|
5 | 34 | 29 | 0 |