Confiança vs Vitória ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
CON
1 - 0
FLU
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
CON
1 - 1
BAH
23%
29%
48%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
CON
0 - 3
CRZ
15%
24%
61%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
USC
1 - 0
CON
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
LON
1 - 2
CON
63%
21%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
FLU
6 - 0
VIT
87%
9%
4%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
VIT
2 - 1
VIT
28%
31%
42%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
VIT
3 - 1
SER
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
VOL
3 - 0
VIT
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |