Concordia Lausanne vs FC Monthey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
54.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
12º
16º
15º
55
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 87.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Lausanne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VEV
7 - 0
CON
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 1
CON
47%
21%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
CON
4 - 1
FCA
90%
7%
3%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 8
CON
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
COL
2 - 3
CON
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Monthey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FCM
3 - 2
GRA
71%
15%
13%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SEC
0 - 2
FCM
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BUL
2 - 3
FCM
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 1
CSC
45%
22%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SEC
5 - 2
FCM
35%
22%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |