Concórdia vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
CAC
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CAC
4 - 0
ECP
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
JEC
1 - 1
CAC
39%
24%
38%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
CAC
2 - 1
BRU
19%
21%
60%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FFL
3 - 0
CAC
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
MET
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
MET
0 - 1
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ECP
2 - 0
MET
31%
23%
45%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MET
0 - 1
JEC
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BRU
1 - 0
MET
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |