Catarinense 1 Playoff descenso. Final
Global 4-1
Concórdia vs CA Tubarão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 2
CAC
41%
23%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CAC
1 - 1
AVA
8%
14%
78%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BRU
1 - 1
CAC
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 0
CAC
28%
22%
49%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAC
4 - 1
TUB
33%
25%
43%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 2
CAC
41%
23%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
TUB
1 - 3
CHA
11%
20%
69%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUB
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 2
AVA
14%
20%
67%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAC
4 - 1
TUB
33%
25%
43%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |