Concepción vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CON
0 - 2
COQ
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 2
CON
47%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 2
CON
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 5
HUA
38%
24%
39%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ANT
3 - 0
HUA
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
HUA
1 - 0
USF
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
NUB
0 - 2
HUA
16%
20%
64%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |