Concepción vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
CUR
0 - 1
CON
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
USF
23%
29%
49%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
NTA
0 - 1
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
DEP
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
NTA
1 - 3
BAR
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LOT
1 - 2
BAR
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |