Conaree United vs Bath United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
8º
4º
30
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conaree United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CON
2 - 3
VIL
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CON
3 - 0
SFU
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
STP
42%
24%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 5
STP
41%
24%
36%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
STP
1 - 0
CON
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bath United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAU
0 - 1
BAT
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CAY
4 - 2
BAT
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
5 - 1
BAT
65%
18%
18%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BAT
2 - 2
ORJ
30%
22%
48%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
BAT
3 - 4
CON
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |