Complutense Alcala vs Móstoles CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Complutense Alcala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
PNT
0 - 0
CAL
43%
28%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ALA
5 - 0
CAL
39%
27%
35%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 1
ARA
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MOS
1 - 0
CAL
29%
27%
44%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
MOS
0 - 1
ALC
26%
27%
47%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MOS
0 - 1
ALC
28%
25%
47%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SFN
1 - 0
MOS
38%
27%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MOS
0 - 5
VLP
44%
27%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
STA
0 - 2
MOS
38%
25%
38%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |