Compiègne vs Lille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
8º
13º
9º
37
6º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
COM
1 - 2
FEI
15%
23%
63%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
COM
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
COM
0 - 2
TRO
5%
14%
81%
|
19 | 65 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
COM
0 - 1
FUR
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
SED
8%
17%
75%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LIL
1 - 3
USM
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
IRI
1 - 1
LIL
31%
24%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LIL
2 - 3
LEN
31%
24%
46%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 4
LIL
35%
24%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
LIL
0 - 0
AAC
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |