Como vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
20%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
28.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
CES
1 - 1
COM
61%
25%
14%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
COM
3 - 0
CAM
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
COM
1 - 0
CAG
42%
30%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1983 |
FCC
2 - 2
COM
51%
30%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
COM
0 - 0
ATL
60%
27%
14%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
SSS
0 - 1
PES
61%
26%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
ARZ
0 - 1
SSS
51%
29%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
SSS
1 - 0
ASS
46%
31%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1983 |
LEC
0 - 0
SSS
48%
30%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
CAM
3 - 0
SSS
51%
28%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |