Como vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
BRE
4 - 1
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
COM
2 - 2
GEN
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
COM
1 - 0
FCC
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
COM
3 - 2
ATL
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
COM
0 - 0
PRO
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
SSS
1 - 1
ACP
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
ACM
0 - 1
SSS
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
SSS
1 - 1
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
SPA
1 - 2
SSS
71%
18%
12%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
SSS
2 - 1
REG
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |