Como vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LEC
4 - 0
COM
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
COM
3 - 0
JS2
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
PIS
1 - 0
COM
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
REN
41%
29%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
USA
0 - 2
COM
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ASL
0 - 0
LEO
18%
23%
58%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
GRO
2 - 1
ASL
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 4
NOV
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PER
0 - 2
ASL
58%
24%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 1
REN
19%
26%
55%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |