Como vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
51.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 1
COM
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
TER
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CRO
2 - 0
COM
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
CAG
11%
23%
66%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 0
COM
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 1
BRE
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LAT
0 - 0
SPE
29%
29%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 3
SPE
30%
29%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
SPE
0 - 1
PES
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
CRO
0 - 0
SPE
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |