Como vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
16.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1985 |
COM
0 - 0
ACM
24%
31%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
AVE
1 - 1
COM
58%
26%
16%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
VER
0 - 0
COM
74%
18%
8%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
COM
0 - 0
TOR
25%
35%
40%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
ATL
1 - 0
COM
57%
26%
18%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
PRG
1 - 0
VAR
50%
30%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
VAR
0 - 1
BOL
57%
27%
16%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 1
VAR
43%
31%
26%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
VAR
3 - 0
TAR
67%
22%
11%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
SSS
0 - 1
VAR
43%
32%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |