Como vs ACD Guidonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
COM
2 - 0
LEC
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
USC
1 - 0
COM
78%
16%
7%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
COM
2 - 1
SOR
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ACL
0 - 0
COM
68%
21%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
COM
3 - 1
PAG
37%
28%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
ACD Guidonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
ACD
3 - 1
CAS
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 1
ACD
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SGP
0 - 1
ACD
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ACD
5 - 0
ORV
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
ACD
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |