Comercial vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
COM
3 - 3
NOR
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
BSP
1 - 0
COM
39%
24%
38%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
COM
0 - 2
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SER
0 - 3
COM
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
COM
2 - 2
NOR
44%
28%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 2
SER
59%
24%
18%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
SER
0 - 1
BSP
22%
22%
55%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
SER
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SER
0 - 3
COM
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
SER
3 - 4
BAN
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |