Comercial vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 1
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
25%
25%
49%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BAT
0 - 2
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
COM
5 - 0
MAT
52%
24%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAT
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
SAO
37%
24%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 2
FER
18%
24%
58%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 0
SAO
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |