Comercial vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
61.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
COM
1 - 2
RIO
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
OES
1 - 1
COM
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 3
COM
72%
19%
10%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
PAL
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MOG
2 - 1
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PPE
2 - 1
COR
32%
30%
38%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
XVD
4 - 1
PPE
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 0
AUD
63%
22%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
PPE
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
LAN
2 - 0
PPE
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |