Comercial vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
COM
1 - 1
CAT
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
SEP
1 - 2
COM
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 1
COM
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
COM
1 - 0
MIR
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
COM
0 - 0
ECN
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
MOG
4 - 1
POR
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2007 |
OES
2 - 0
MOG
63%
20%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
MOG
2 - 1
CAT
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
MOG
5 - 0
TAU
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 0
MOG
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |