Comercial vs Botafogo SP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
COM
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
COM
0 - 1
SER
64%
22%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
COM
3 - 3
NOR
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
BSP
1 - 0
COM
39%
24%
38%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
COM
0 - 2
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
BSP
0 - 1
SER
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 0
BSP
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
BSP
41%
24%
36%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
BSP
1 - 0
COM
39%
24%
38%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
SER
0 - 1
BSP
22%
22%
55%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |