Comercial MS vs Três Lagoas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
COS
1 - 1
COM
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
CHA
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
ABC
0 - 1
COM
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
TLG
3 - 4
COM
11%
17%
72%
|
39 | 6 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
COM
0 - 1
COS
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Três Lagoas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 1
TLG
78%
14%
8%
|
5 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
TLG
2 - 4
CHA
9%
14%
76%
|
5 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
TLG
0 - 1
COS
10%
14%
76%
|
5 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
TLG
3 - 4
COM
11%
17%
72%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 0
TLG
76%
15%
9%
|
6 | 41 | 35 | 0 |