Comercial PI vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 0
CAC
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
4DE
2 - 3
CAC
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAC
2 - 1
COR
60%
20%
20%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 2
ALT
21%
20%
59%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
3 - 0
FPI
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 5 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 2
COR
50%
23%
26%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 0
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 0
PAR
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOT
10%
20%
70%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
FPI
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 5 | 36 | 0 |