Com.Río Nacimiento vs Atl.Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Com.Río Nacimiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CUE
5 - 0
COM
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
COM
5 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CDL
2 - 1
COM
26%
23%
50%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
COM
4 - 2
LNO
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ZAP
0 - 3
COM
47%
23%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Atl.Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 2
ATC
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
COM
2 - 0
ATL
36%
24%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 1
VIC
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATL
27%
24%
49%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CUE
2 - 0
ATL
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |