Colwyn Bay vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
43.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SOL
0 - 0
COL
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LEA
2 - 1
COL
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
STO
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 1
COL
65%
21%
15%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
COL
0 - 1
AFC
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CHO
2 - 2
LOW
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BUX
0 - 2
CHO
24%
26%
51%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
CHO
4 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
8%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
KIN
0 - 2
CHO
38%
26%
37%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CHO
3 - 0
STA
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |