MLS round 8

Colorado Rapids vs San Diego FC analysis

Colorado Rapids San Diego FC
83 ELO 20
0.7% Tilt 14.7%
354º General ELO ranking 10564º
20º Country ELO ranking 194º
ELO win probability
75.9%
Colorado Rapids
18.5%
Draw
5.6%
San Diego FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
Colorado Rapids
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
19.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
20.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
27.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.5%
5.6%
Win probability
San Diego FC
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Colorado Rapids
-2%
+42%
San Diego FC

Points and table prediction

Colorado Rapids
Their league position
San Diego FC
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
19º
16º
27
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Philadelphia Union
33
59
25.5%
Vancouver Whitecaps
32
58
18%
Inter Miami
26
55
10.5%
Cincinnati
30
55
6%
Orlando City
27
53
4%
Minnesota United
27
53
5%
Columbus Crew
28
53
7%
Nashville SC
28
51
8.5%
San Jose Earthquakes
17º
22
50
10%
Portland Timbers
13º
24
50
10º
5.5%
Los Angeles FC
14º
23
49
11º
6%
New York RB
11º
24
49
12º
6%
San Diego FC
27
49
13º
5%
Seattle Sounders
10º
26
49
14º
4.5%
Chicago Fire
21º
19
48
15º
3.5%
Colorado Rapids
15º
23
48
16º
10%
New England Revolution
18º
20
46
17º
4.5%
New York City
12º
24
46
18º
6.5%
Houston Dynamo
19º
20
45
19º
5.5%
Charlotte FC
16º
22
45
20º
6%
FC Dallas
23º
17
43
21º
7%
Austin FC
20º
20
43
22º
6%
Sporting Kansas City
27º
13
42
23º
7.5%
Atlanta United
22º
17
42
24º
8%
Real Salt Lake
24º
15
41
25º
10.5%
DC United
25º
15
40
26º
9%
Toronto FC
26º
13
36
27º
17%
CF Montréal
29º
8
34
28º
15.5%
LA Galaxy
30º
4
32
29º
23%
St. Louis City
28º
11
28
30º
45.5%
Expected probabilities
Colorado Rapids
San Diego FC
Final Series
18.5% 18%
Play-offs
8.5% 8.5%
Mid-table
73% 73.5%

ELO progression

Colorado Rapids
San Diego FC
Orlando City
Austin FC
Minnesota United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2025
VAN
Vancouver Whitecaps
2 - 0
Colorado Rapids
COR
39%
25%
36%
83 83 0 0
29 Mar. 2025
COR
Colorado Rapids
2 - 0
Charlotte FC
CHA
45%
26%
29%
83 83 0 0
23 Mar. 2025
COR
Colorado Rapids
0 - 3
Portland Timbers
POR
41%
25%
35%
83 83 0 0
16 Mar. 2025
SJE
San Jose Earthquakes
1 - 2
Colorado Rapids
COR
38%
24%
38%
83 81 2 0
09 Mar. 2025
AUS
Austin FC
0 - 1
Colorado Rapids
COR
43%
24%
33%
83 83 0 0

Matches

San Diego FC
San Diego FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2025
SDI
San Diego FC
3 - 0
Seattle Sounders
SES
16%
23%
61%
18 83 65 0
30 Mar. 2025
SDI
San Diego FC
3 - 2
Los Angeles FC
LAN
15%
23%
62%
17 83 66 +1
23 Mar. 2025
AUS
Austin FC
2 - 1
San Diego FC
SDI
81%
15%
4%
17 83 66 0
16 Mar. 2025
SDI
San Diego FC
1 - 1
Columbus Crew
COC
12%
21%
67%
17 83 66 0
09 Mar. 2025
RSL
Real Salt Lake
1 - 3
San Diego FC
SDI
81%
16%
4%
14 83 69 +3