Colorado MS vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colorado MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
AME
2 - 0
COL
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1980 |
GRE
3 - 2
COL
75%
16%
10%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
COL
0 - 1
PPE
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
COL
5 - 0
AME
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
COR
4 - 1
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
PPE
0 - 1
GRE
40%
25%
36%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1980 |
GRE
3 - 2
COL
75%
16%
10%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
AME
1 - 3
GRE
14%
26%
60%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
GRE
0 - 2
PPE
69%
18%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
SCI
0 - 3
GRE
46%
27%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |