Colorado vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
NOV
0 - 0
CEC
27%
29%
44%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
AVA
0 - 1
CEC
37%
25%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
JUV
0 - 0
CEC
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1979 |
CEC
1 - 0
JEC
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
CEC
1 - 1
CON
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
LON
2 - 2
SER
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
LON
1 - 0
NOV
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
JEC
0 - 0
LON
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
LON
1 - 0
ANA
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
AVA
1 - 1
LON
40%
27%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |