Colón vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
CEN
0 - 1
COL
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
GIM
1 - 4
COL
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
COL
1 - 1
RIV
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
RAC
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
EST
0 - 0
COL
62%
21%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
GIM
1 - 0
NOB
36%
28%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
GLP
0 - 1
NOB
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
NOB
1 - 0
SMA
60%
25%
16%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
NOB
2 - 2
GIM
53%
27%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
BAN
0 - 1
NOB
58%
22%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |