Colón vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
42%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
COL
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
COL
0 - 1
RAF
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 0
COL
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
COL
2 - 2
NOB
30%
28%
43%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
BOC
2 - 0
COL
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 1
GOD
53%
26%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 3
VEL
39%
29%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 0
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 2
PPE
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
VEL
33%
29%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |