Colón C-3 vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 0
COL
71%
18%
10%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
SMI
24%
28%
48%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
AMA
2 - 1
COL
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
COL
1 - 2
CHO
25%
29%
46%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 0
COL
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 0
COL
71%
18%
10%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AFC
5 - 3
CHE
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SMI
2 - 0
AFC
61%
22%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 0
AMA
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 2
AFC
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |