Colombia U20 vs Paraguay U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 2
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
COL
1 - 1
USA
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
MEX
0 - 0
COL
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
COL
0 - 1
UKR
60%
22%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
COL
1 - 1
NZL
78%
14%
7%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
VEN
3 - 0
PRY
26%
23%
52%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
URY
1 - 0
PRY
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
PRY
1 - 0
PER
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PRY
1 - 1
ARG
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
ECU
3 - 0
PRY
23%
24%
54%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |