Colo-Colo vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 3
COL
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
EVE
3 - 2
COL
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
COL
1 - 3
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
COL
0 - 1
UNI
55%
23%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
COL
0 - 2
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 0
EVE
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
COL
0 - 2
UCO
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
UCO
2 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
OHI
4 - 2
UCO
35%
28%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |