Colo-Colo vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
SWA
2 - 1
COL
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
COL
2 - 2
CSL
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
COL
4 - 2
UCO
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
OHI
2 - 1
COL
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
COL
1 - 0
CSL
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
DLS
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
HUA
1 - 0
UCO
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
COL
4 - 2
UCO
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 2
SWA
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
NUB
2 - 2
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |