Colo-Colo vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
DLS
0 - 3
COL
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
OVA
3 - 2
COL
15%
20%
65%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
CUR
2 - 2
COL
19%
25%
55%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
COL
3 - 1
PAL
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
PAL
1 - 1
COL
30%
24%
46%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
51%
24%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 0
EVE
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
COB
0 - 3
UCO
61%
21%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
HUA
0 - 1
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
UCO
0 - 1
CDM
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |