Colo-Colo vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 1
COL
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
SWA
1 - 0
COL
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
COL
4 - 1
PUE
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
COL
1 - 2
HUA
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CSD
0 - 0
COL
25%
24%
52%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
CSL
4 - 1
UCO
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
UCO
4 - 1
DLS
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 2
SWA
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
ANT
3 - 2
UCO
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
UCO
29%
27%
45%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |