College 1975 vs Mons Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
78.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
College 1975
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
COL
1 - 4
JOS
19%
22%
60%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 0
COL
67%
18%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
COL
0 - 4
MAG
23%
24%
54%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CEU
5 - 0
COL
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
COL
0 - 5
LRI
14%
19%
67%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Mons Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
MON
21%
21%
59%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
EUR
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
JOS
3 - 0
MON
63%
20%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
MAN
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 0
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |