Colima vs Leones Negros II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
COR
0 - 0
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
COL
29%
28%
44%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
MAZ
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
IPC
1 - 1
COL
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
COL
2 - 2
IPC
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
0 - 0
EST
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAZ
3 - 0
LEO
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 2
GAV
17%
24%
59%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
COL
3 - 2
LEO
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 0
ATS
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |