Colima vs Leones Negros II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
REB
1 - 0
COL
50%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ATS
0 - 1
COL
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
COL
2 - 0
ASL
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CSI
1 - 4
COL
18%
24%
59%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
COL
3 - 0
MAZ
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Leones Negros II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 0
ATS
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CSI
1 - 2
LEO
34%
25%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 4
DUR
15%
25%
60%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ZAC
1 - 0
LEO
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
LEO
0 - 1
GAV
15%
24%
61%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |